What happens if the Brexit deal fails for a third time More

first_img SharePrint REUTERS/Toby MelvilleREUTERS/Toby Melville It’s been less than 24 hours since European leaders agreed to offer the United Kingdom an Article 50 extension to May 22nd on the condition that MPs support the withdrawal deal next Monday.Now it appears that there are fears over what could happen if the Brexit deal fails a third time. Discussions yesterday revealed that in the event of the deal being dropped once more, this would trigger a shorter delay until April 12th.Updated: UK to get delay until 22 May if MPs support deal next MondayYesterday’s olive branch aside, the Prime Minister is understood to be considering a series of seven ‘indicative votes’ which offer MPs the chance to vote on the next course of the process. This will include a variety of options from cancelling Brexit to crashing out with No-Deal, and everything in between.Government has not officially committed itself to the indicative votes but they could also be forced through via endorsement from MPs across the ParliamentWhile the details of what the options will include remain vague at this time, they would not replace the vote on the PM’s dealRevoke Article 50By delving into the Article 50 legislation, it is entirely possible that the United Kingdom could revoke its request to leave the European Union without the say of the other European member states.According to the European Court of Justice, the UK would need to notify the EU of its, ‘unequivocal and unconditional’ decision to cancel Brexit and remain a member of the bloc.The European Court of Justice ruled last year that revoking the process would not change the terms of the UK’s former membership of the EU meaning it would not need to accept the Euro or join the Schengen zone.#ECJ: UK is free to unilaterally revoke the notification of its intention to withdraw from the EU – Case C-621/18 Wightman #Brexit pic.twitter.com/KUOI2eQ48C— EU Court of Justice (@EUCourtPress) December 10, 2018A second referendum  The details of what the second referendum would consist of remain unclear but there is a movement of both civil society and MPs within the United Kingdom which believe in offering the British a say on the final deal.The ‘People’s Vote’ as it is called, is campaigning for the British public to have the final say on the withdrawal deal which would decide on behalf of lawmakers.The Brexit withdrawal dealOnce again, details behind this option are also unclear but given recent voting down of the deal twice and the statements that the third deal will need to be ‘substantively different’ to the first and second attempts, a possible fourth try may also have to be a different beast.Updated: Brexit: PM says ‘UK in crisis’ with 10 days to BrexitThird Brexit deal vote would have to be ‘substantively different’ – HOC SpeakerWithdrawal deal with customs unionProposals for a customs union have been something that has largely been discussed by the official Opposition Labour Party over the last few months. This customs union would be with the EU and would form part of a departure deal that would maintain a connection with the bloc.The customs union would keep the UK within the free trade area with no tariffs on goods and services moving across it.This was outlined in the Labour Leaders’ five commitments which form their terms for supporting the Brexit deal, a ‘permanent and comprehensive UK-wide customs union.’In February, the Prime Minister officially told the Labour leader that she would rule out such a customs union believing that it would impact the UK’s ability to make its own trade deals.Withdrawal deal with customs union and Single Market accessBuilding on the above mentioned idea of keeping the UK within a close orbit of the European Union’s economic union, comes the added idea of maintaining access to the European Single Market.While the customs area would all good and services to pass freely, the Single Market is much broader in scope and would see the UK maintaining its commitments and access to the free movement of goods, services, capital and people.The idea has been touted of a ‘Norway Plus’ style membership option which would allow the UK to keep its connection and access but not allow it to have a say in changes to the union or market dynamics and the impacts for the UK. The Prime Minister rejected the idea saying that trading with the EU with no rights over how the trade would be conducted would only be a worse option for the UK than having its own independent trade agreements.According to the Institute for Government, such an agreement would go against the EU’s own approach to trade at it requires oversight and regulation to ensure that it is conducted fairly with the UK. They believe this to be ‘highly unlikely’.Standard Free-trade agreementThis concept refers to the Canada or Canada-Plus style of free trade agreement in which the UK would emulate the EU’s trade agreement with Canada, the Canada Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA). Such an agreement could see the UK and the EU trying to negotiate efficient access to products and services through regulations that aim at reducing trade barriers.IFG argues that this would a radical change for the UK seeing as the Canadian system would not cater to around 80% of the UK’s existing economy. This would severely damage the UK economy, they suggest.No Deal Brexit Although MPs have already voted to not have a No-Deal Brexit, the Prime Minister has raised the possibility once more. Some wiffs in recent weeks suggested a more favourable opinion of No-Deal Brexit, it is unclear if MPs will actually vote in favour of it this time.National humiliationWhile the options are put together, Brexiteer MPs have been reacting angrily to them, suggesting that a ‘National humiliation is imminent through these ‘indicative votes,’, MP Steve Baker said.Another Conservative MP Michael Fabricant said, ‘If this is true, has Theresa May now decided to declare open war on ALL her backbenchers following her ill-advised statement last Wednesday night?’Nick Boles, a former Tory minister said that he believed that MPs of the Parliament should be put in charge of discussing and deciding on what the indicative votes should be.DUP says PM capitulated with EUIn an email statement to the Prime Minister from the Deputy leader of the Democratic Unionist Party Nigel Dodds, May is accused of capitulating with the EU rather than looking for changes which would allow the existing Brexit withdrawal agreement to get the support of the Parliament.‘The government has been far too willing to capitulate before securing the necessary changes which would get an agreement through the House of Commons … That failure is all the more disappointing and inexcusable given the clear divisions and arguments which became evident amongst EU member states when faced with outcomes they don’t like.’Dodds concludes by telling the PM that his party will again not approve of a deal that ‘poses a long-term risk to the constitutional and economic integrity of the United Kingdom.’UpdatesOver 3.5 million UK nationals have signed the petition requesting Parliament to discuss revoking Article 50 and keeping the UK in the EU.Tomorrow supporters of the movement ‘People’s Vote’ will participate in the ‘Put it the People’ March taking place in London tomorrow.WhatsApp <a href=’http://revive.newsbook.com.mt/www/delivery/ck.php?n=ab2c8853&amp;cb={random}’ target=’_blank’><img src=’https://revive.newsbook.com.mt/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=97&amp;cb={random}&amp;n=ab2c8853&amp;ct0={clickurl_enc}’ border=’0′ alt=” /></a>last_img

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